http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/39/small-stakes-pl-nl/nl100-tptk-3b-pot-weird-flop-485035/
Hero flats a 3bet with AQs-clubs from a TAG blind with a 9% 3bet over a reliable sample. Flop comes QJT twotone and the general sense is shove or fold, with a high likelihood of getting it in bad.
My questions for y'all (and the forum).
If villain is going to have us in a bad spot on a broadway board but three bets that much, shouldn't we be 4bet bluffing with AQ?
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Things that would be nice to know...
ReplyDeleteHow often does he 4bet? How aggro is he postflop? Does he barrel a lot?
I don't think we can say 4betting is almost always best... It's just this board is sick but we're not going to get a board like that very often.
With that being said:
Shoving the flop makes no sense to me. We're going to get it in bad so often...
Do we all hate calling and see what he does on the turn? I prob would call in the heat of the moment with the intention of giving up if he barrels the turn.
Yeah, I don't know.
ReplyDeleteThree things that come to mind when I think about this spot.
1) High variance.
2) Rare.
3) Very in-game dynamic dependent.
The shove will only work to induce action from a dominated draw hand that shuts down otherwise. There's just not that many of them. The hand is 3-to-1 vs my estimated continuing range { TT+, AQs+, ATs, KQs, KTs, QTs+, JTs, AQo+ }
Can it be that it's too bad to even call unless he'll go off with like KJ with a backdoor?
Isn't he going to play perfect poker if we call?